Sport Picks

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Dunfermline vs Ayr

Scotland Scotland

Championship East End Park, Dunfermline
Dunfermline Logo

Dunfermline

1 - 1
FT
Ayr Logo

Ayr

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Tod A.
Assist: Kearney S.
45' Event
McBeth L.
Assist: Taylor R.
58'
Sub
Mitchell K. In: Murphy J.
Out: Mitchell K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Dunfermline and Ayr finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dunfermline
30%
Draws
38%
Ayr
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ayr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Dunfermline carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dunfermline's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 68%
Ayr Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Ayr
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Ayr
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Championship
Ayr vs Dunfermline
0:3
Dec 20, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Ayr
2:3
Oct 31, 2025 Championship
Ayr vs Dunfermline
0:1
Sep 23, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Ayr
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Tod A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ayr Compare

Top Goalscorer McBeth L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 50 / 100
Ayr 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Ayr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dunfermline scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Ayr has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Ayr
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Inverness
0 : 0
Dunfermline
26 Jul
St. Mirren
0 : 1
Dunfermline
21 Jul
Dunfermline
5 : 0
Cove Rangers
14 Jul
Dunfermline
4 : 1
Dumbarton
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Ayr

(Away)
08 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 1
Ayr
01 Aug
Ayr
2 : 0
Arbroath
25 Jul
Ayr
4 : 1
Alloa
18 Jul
Ayr
2 : 0
Edinburgh City
14 Jul
Falkirk
0 : 1
Ayr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Partick 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Ayr 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Stenhousemuir 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Raith 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Livingston 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Dunfermline 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
7 Inverness 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
8 Arbroath 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
9 Queen's Park 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
10 Morton 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)