Sport Picks
Dunfermline vs Kelty Hearts - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup East End Park, Dunfermline 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dunfermline have averaged 1.33 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Kelty Hearts's 1.44 scored and 2.15 conceded. Past meetings favor Dunfermline slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.31, favoring Dunfermline. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Dunfermline come out ahead of Kelty Hearts on wins alone.
- Model gives Dunfermline a 58% chance of winning this.
- Dunfermline have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dunfermline, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Dunfermline have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dunfermline | Kelty Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 0 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kelty Hearts conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.
Recent resilience: Dunfermline stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Dunfermline scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
