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Dunfermline vs Queen's Park

Scotland Scotland

Championship East End Park, Dunfermline
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Cooper J.
Assist: Lobban D.
18'
Todorov N.
28' Event
MacLeod R.
Assist: Cleall-Harding S.

AI Match Summary

Dunfermline in this Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dunfermline.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Dunfermline
20%
Draws
23%
Queen's Park
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dunfermline

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunfermline have won more games recently than Queen's Park.
  • Win probability leans Dunfermline's way, sitting at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dunfermline Clean Sheet 20%
Queen's Park Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunfermline Queen's Park
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Queen's Park
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 Championship
Dunfermline vs Queen's Park
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Championship
Queen's Park vs Dunfermline
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Dunfermline vs Queen's Park
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunfermline Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooper J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader MacLeod R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Queen's Park Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunfermline 58 / 100
Queen's Park 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunfermline Queen's Park

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunfermline Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dunfermline scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Queen's Park's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Dunfermline remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Queen's Park lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunfermline VS Queen's Park
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunfermline

(Home)
19 Sept
Morton
0 : 1
Dunfermline
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Arbroath
1 : 1
Dunfermline
28 Aug
Dunfermline
1 : 0
Raith
22 Aug
Livingston
2 : 0
Dunfermline
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Queen's Park

(Away)
18 Sept
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Ayr
12 Sept
Dunfermline
2 : 0
Queen's Park
05 Sept
Queen's Park
2 : 1
Morton
29 Aug
Partick
0 : 0
Queen's Park
22 Aug
Queen's Park
0 : 2
Stenhousemuir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stenhousemuir 7 6 1 0 11:2 19
2 Raith 7 4 2 1 11:3 14
3 Partick 7 3 3 1 5:2 12
4 Dunfermline 7 3 3 1 6:4 12
5 Livingston 7 3 1 3 10:7 10
6 Ayr 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
7 Arbroath 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
8 Inverness 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
9 Queen's Park 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Morton 7 0 1 6 4:13 1
Promotion - Premiership 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Promotion - Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)