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Dungannon vs Coleraine - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Coleraine have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Dungannon have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.58. Past meetings favor Coleraine slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.81) point toward Coleraine. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Dungannon
20%
Draws
56%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coleraine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coleraine lately — more wins on the board than Dungannon.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Coleraine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Coleraine, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Coleraine here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 11%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Coleraine
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 15 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.58 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:3
May 2, 2026 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Coleraine
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Dungannon vs Coleraine
3:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Dungannon
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 30 / 100
Coleraine 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Dungannon scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Coleraine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Dungannon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS Coleraine
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dungannon

(Home)
20 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Dungannon
17 Oct
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Dungannon
10 Oct
Dungannon
2 : 4
Carrick Rangers
03 Oct
Glentoran
2 : 0
Dungannon
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Coleraine

(Away)
16 Oct
Larne
2 : 3
Coleraine
10 Oct
Coleraine
1 : 0
Cliftonville
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
25 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 3
Linfield
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
TBD -
Linfield -
1/8-finals
Warrenpoint -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
Queens University -
Limavady -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Moyola -
Ballymena -
Glentoran -
Larne -
Dungannon -
Coleraine -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -