Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dungannon vs Rathfriland Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025 Stangmore Park
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bermingham B.
32' Event
Glenny A.
65' Event
Mitchell A.

AI Match Summary

Dungannon in this Irish Cup 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dungannon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dungannon
6%
Draws
4%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dungannon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dungannon have won more games recently than Rathfriland Rangers.
  • Win probability leans Dungannon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cup games in Irish Cup 2024/2025 usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dungannon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dungannon Clean Sheet 16%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dungannon Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 22 16
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Dungannon vs Rathfriland Rangers
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Dungannon vs Rathfriland Rangers
5:0
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Rathfriland Rangers vs Dungannon
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dungannon Compare

Top Goalscorer McGovern J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bermingham B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rathfriland Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dungannon 84 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dungannon Rathfriland Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: Dungannon scored in 79% of their last 38 outings.

Recent resilience: Dungannon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dungannon VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda3
Banbridge0
TBD-
Crusaders-
Limavady-
TBD-
TBD-
Larne-
Cliftonville-
TBD-
Banbridge Rangers2
Queens University1
Glenavon-
TBD-
TBD-
Dundela-
Portstewart0
Belfast Celtic1
Moyola1
St. James' Swifts0
Ballymena-
TBD-
TBD-
Ards-
Lurgan Town Boys0
Dollingstown1
TBD-
Ballyclare-
Institute-
TBD-
TBD-
Loughgall-
Bangor FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Newington FC-
Annagh-
TBD-
TBD-
Portadown-
Harland & Wolff-
TBD-
TBD-
Glentoran-
Linfield-
TBD-
Wellington Rec-
Dergview-
Islandmagee0
Ballymacash4
TBD-
Ballinamallard-
Carrick Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
Newry City-
Dungannon-
TBD-
Rosario Youth2
Rathfriland Rangers4
Coleraine-
TBD-
TBD-
Armagh-
1/16-finals
Knockbreda0
Crusaders3
Limavady1
Larne0
Cliftonville4
Banbridge Rangers0
Glenavon2
Dundela0
Belfast Celtic0
Moyola1
Ballymena1
Ards2
Dollingstown1
Ballyclare0
Institute2
Loughgall3
Bangor FC2
Newington FC1
Annagh3
Portadown2
Harland & Wolff2
Glentoran4
Linfield4
Wellington Rec0
Ballymacash1
Ballinamallard2
Carrick Rangers4
Newry City3
Dungannon5
Rathfriland Rangers0
Coleraine5
Armagh0
1/8-finals
Crusaders1
Limavady0
Cliftonville3
Glenavon2
Moyola1
Ards3
Dollingstown0
Loughgall3
Bangor FC3
Annagh0
Glentoran2
Linfield1
Ballinamallard0
Carrick Rangers3
Dungannon2
Coleraine1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders1
Cliftonville2
Ards2
Loughgall0
Bangor FC3
Glentoran1
Carrick Rangers1
Dungannon3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville3
Ards0
Bangor FC0
Dungannon2
Final
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2