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Dunkerque vs Clermont - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Astic J.
36'
Diop O.
38' Event
Sangante O.
Assist: Lebeau A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Dunkerque and Clermont finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dunkerque
35%
Draws
32%
Clermont
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Dunkerque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Clermont are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 22%
Clermont Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Clermont
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Clermont
1:1
Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Dunkerque
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Clermont
2:2
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Clermont
3:0
Sep 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Clermont vs Dunkerque
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangante O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Clermont Compare

Top Goalscorer Okou C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 24 / 100
Clermont 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Clermont

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Clermont Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Clermont's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dunkerque went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Clermont
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
18 Sept
Pau
2 : 0
Dunkerque
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Nancy
2 : 0
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

Clermont

(Away)
02 Oct
Auxerre
4 : 3
Clermont
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Clermont
0 : 0
Boulogne
04 Sept
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Clermont
28 Aug
Clermont
0 : 0
Sochaux
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)