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Dunkerque vs Guingamp - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
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Match Events

17' Event
Morel J.
Assist: Prutsev E.
59'
Bokangu B.
62'
Sub
Prutsev E. In: Keita S.
Out: Prutsev E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 game between Dunkerque and Guingamp finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dunkerque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Dunkerque
15%
Draws
59%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guingamp

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guingamp's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 15%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Guingamp
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
3:0
Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Dunkerque
2:1
May 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Keita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Guingamp Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 11 / 100
Guingamp 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guingamp Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guingamp has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Dunkerque's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dunkerque went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Guingamp
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
23 Oct
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Metz
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
31 Oct
Guingamp
3 : 0
St Etienne
23 Oct
Clermont
0 : 2
Guingamp
16 Oct
Guingamp
1 : 2
Pau
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Guingamp
2 : 1
Le Mans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)