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Dunkerque vs Guingamp

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Doucet L.
64'
Sub
Sylvestre E. In: Bokele Mputu M.
Out: Sylvestre E.
71'
Sidibe K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dunkerque
6%
Draws
4%
Guingamp
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dunkerque lately — more wins on the board than Guingamp.
  • Model gives Dunkerque a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 68%
Guingamp Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Guingamp
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
0:0
Sep 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Dunkerque
2:1
May 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
1:0
Apr 7, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Guingamp
3:1
Jan 4, 2025 Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Dunkerque
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 95 / 100
Guingamp 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Guingamp

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Guingamp registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dunkerque scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Guingamp let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Guingamp
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Guingamp

(Away)
25 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 2
Lorient
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1
Concarneau
17 Jul
Rennes
3 : 1
Guingamp
09 May
Clermont
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)