Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dunkerque vs Rodez

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Arconte T.
Assist: Galves N.
29'
Jean-Lambert E.
46'
Sub
Mayela V. In: Sangante O.
Out: Mayela V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dunkerque
40%
Draws
29%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rodez have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 11%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunkerque Rodez
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 10
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Rodez
1:1
Nov 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
1:1
Mar 10, 2025 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
5:1
Aug 30, 2024 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Rodez
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Ligue 2
Rodez vs Dunkerque
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunkerque Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardeli E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rodez Compare

Top Goalscorer Arconte T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunkerque 30 / 100
Rodez 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunkerque Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rodez has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Dunkerque found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dunkerque stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunkerque VS Rodez
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunkerque

(Home)
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
18 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 0
St. Liege
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2 : 1
Dunkerque
04 Jul
Dunkerque
0 : 2
Valenciennes
Page 1 of 6

Rodez

(Away)
25 Jul
Toulouse
1 : 1
Rodez
22 Jul
Rodez
2 : 1
Nimes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
15 May
St Etienne
1 : 0
Rodez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Troyes34207760:3367
2Le Mans341614450:3162
3St Etienne341861059:3860
4Red Star341610845:3758
5Rodez341513645:3958
6Reims341414653:3556
7Annecy341571249:3952
8Montpellier341491141:3151
9Pau341291348:6245
10Dunkerque3411101353:4543
11Guingamp3410101442:4940
12Grenoble348151133:3939
13Clermont349101538:4437
14Nancy349101535:5237
15Boulogne34991634:4936
16Laval346141430:4832
17Bastia345131623:3928
18Amiens SC34662237:6524
19AC Ajaccio00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)