Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

Dunloy

3 - 0

Wellington Rec

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Dunloy advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Dunloy

15%

Draws

21%

Wellington Rec

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunloy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Wellington Rec come out ahead of Dunloy on wins alone.
Model gives Dunloy a 64% chance of winning this.
Wellington Rec arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Dunloy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Dunloy Clean Sheet 10%

Wellington Rec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dunloy	Wellington Rec
Matches Played	12	20
Wins	7	10
Draws	0	0
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.92	2.05
Goals Conceded	2.42	1.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup

Dunloy vs Wellington Rec

3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunloy 83 / 100

Wellington Rec 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dunloy Wellington Rec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunloy Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunloy's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Wellington Rec conceded in 74% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Dunloy remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dunloy VS Wellington Rec

1.88 Goals Scored 1

2.75 Goals Conceded 2

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunloy

(Home)

28 Sept

Armagh

2 : 1

Dunloy

17 Aug

Tullyvallen Rangers

2 : 3

Dunloy

01 Dec

Dunloy

0 : 2

Larne Technical Old Boys

03 Nov

Lurgan Town Boys

1 : 2

Dunloy

29 Sept

Dunloy

2 : 0

Armagh

Page 1 of 3

Wellington Rec

(Away)

15 Jul

Wellington Rec

0 : 4

Crusaders

04 Jan

Linfield

4 : 0

Wellington Rec

23 Nov

Wellington Rec

Dergview

29 Sept

Lisburn Distillery

2 : 0

Wellington Rec

30 Sept

St. Patricks Young

3 : 2

Wellington Rec

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

TBD -

Nortel -

St. Marys -

TBD -

Donegal 1

Oxford Stars 3

Glebe 4

Iveagh Utd 0

Portaferry Rovers 2

Silverwood 3

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Moyola 3

Craigavon City 1

Grove 6

Sport & Leisure 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Markethill 4

St. Patricks Young 5

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Laurelvale 1

TBD -

Ards Rangers -

Abbey Villa 5

Holywood 0

Saintfield 0

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Crewe 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Ardglass -

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 0

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Sofia Farmer 2

Lower Maze 1

Banbridge 0

Limavady 2

Donard -

TBD -

Tullyvallen Rangers 0

Windmill 5

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 4

Rosario Youth 0

Dromore Amateurs 0

Queens University 14

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Foundry 1

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Comber Rec 4

Brantwood 3

Ballywalter Recreation 1

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC -

TBD -

St Luke's -

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Dunloy 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Dundonald 2

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Desertmartin 2

Newcastle 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown -

Killymoon -

Hanover 2

Sirocco 3

Newry City 7

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Bangor FC 2

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

Rathfern Rangers 0

Dungannon Rovers 0

U. U. Jordanstown 4

Barn -

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness -

TBD -

Bloomfield 3

Seapatrick 4

Camlough -

TBD -

Dromara -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Bangor Amateurs FC -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Immaculata 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart -

TBD -

Magherafelt 1

Moneyslane FC 6

Islandmagee 4

Ballymacash 1

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

Valley Rangers 3

Newtowne FC 1

TBD -

Seagoe -

Coagh Utd 2

Malachians 1

Banbridge Rangers 4

Derriaghy 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/128-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

Nortel -

St. Marys 4

Oxford Stars 5

Glebe 3

Silverwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Grove 5

Sport & Leisure 2

St. Patricks Young 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 4

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings 2

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 5

Ardglass 1

Crumlin United 2

Ballymoney 3

Sofia Farmer 2

Limavady 0

Donard -

Windmill -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Queens University 0

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Lisburn Rangers 4

Comber Rec 5

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC 1

St Luke's 4

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 8

Dunloy 0

Strabane Athletic 4

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Desertmartin 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Sirocco 1

Newry City 1

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Barn 1

Dundela 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Seapatrick 0

Camlough 0

Dromara 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Ballynahinch United 1

Crumlin Star 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 2

Moneyslane FC 0

Islandmagee 5

Killyleagh Youth 3

Valley Rangers 7

Seagoe 0

Coagh Utd 1

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/64-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 1

Oxford Stars 0

Glebe 0

Grove 1

Sport & Leisure 3

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 2

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 3

Ballymoney 1

Sofia Farmer 0

Windmill 2

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Comber Rec 2

St Luke's 3

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 2

East Belfast 0

Wakehurst 1

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 5

Newington FC 4

Downshire Y.M. 2

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Dromara 1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 5

Killyleagh Youth 0

Valley Rangers 0

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/32-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 6

Grove 2

Sport & Leisure 1

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 4

Windmill 3

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart 4

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/16-finals

Dungannon 3

Dergview 0

Richhill 1

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 2

Knockbreda 1

Ballinamallard 0

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 2

Ards 0

Lisburn Distillery 1

PSNI 2

Institute 4

Ballyclare 2

Glentoran 1

Linfield 2

Coleraine 5

Carrick Rangers 1

Annagh 0

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Larne 1

Fivemiletown 0

Loughgall 3

Armagh 2

Trojans 1

Portstewart 1

Glenavon 4

1/8-finals

Dungannon 4

Dollingstown 1

Crewe 0

Warrenpoint 5

Crusaders 2

PSNI 0

Institute 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Harland & Wolff 1

Ballymena 3

Portadown 2

Loughgall 1

Armagh 0

Glenavon 2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon 2

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 4

Ballymena 0

Portadown 0

Glenavon 5

Semi-finals

Dungannon 0

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Glenavon 1

Final

Linfield 3

Coleraine 0

Dunloy vs Wellington Rec

Northern Ireland

Dunloy

Wellington Rec

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Dunloy

Wellington Rec

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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