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Dunston vs Darlington FC

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Trialist D
62' Event
Lees T.
64' Event
Maskell J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Dunston and Darlington FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darlington FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Dunston
15%
Draws
26%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dunston come out ahead of Darlington FC on wins alone.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dunston Clean Sheet 20%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dunston Darlington FC
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.41 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Dunston vs Darlington FC
1:4
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Dunston vs Darlington FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dunston Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist D
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Darlington FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lees T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maskell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dunston 31 / 100
Darlington FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dunston Darlington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darlington FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dunston's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dunston went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dunston VS Darlington FC
0.8 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 2.13
60% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dunston

(Home)
26 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Avro
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Morpeth
0 : 1
Dunston
05 Sept
Vauxhall
0 : 2
Dunston
29 Aug
Grimsby Borough
0 : 1
Dunston
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Darlington FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
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