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Duque Caxiense vs Barcelona EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Mon, May 26, 2025
3 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Duque Caxiense host Barcelona EC in the Carioca C 2025. Duque Caxiense are expected to control this from the start. Duque Caxiense have averaged 1.25 scored and 1.58 conceded recently, against Barcelona EC's 0.48 scored and 2.57 conceded. Head-to-head, Duque Caxiense have won 1 to Barcelona EC's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 26, 2025, ending 3:0. The numbers (2.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Duque Caxiense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Duque Caxiense
15%
Draws
64%
Barcelona EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barcelona EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barcelona EC come out ahead of Duque Caxiense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Duque Caxiense a 21% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Duque Caxiense Clean Sheet 16%
Barcelona EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque Caxiense Barcelona EC
Matches Played 12 21
Wins 3 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2025 Carioca C
Duque Caxiense vs Barcelona EC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque Caxiense 84 / 100
Barcelona EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque Caxiense Barcelona EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque Caxiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcelona EC has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Duque Caxiense scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Recent resilience: Duque Caxiense stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Duque Caxiense VS Barcelona EC
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Duque Caxiense

(Home)
10 Aug
Buzios
2 : 5
Duque Caxiense
04 Aug
Duque Caxiense
0 : 1
Paraty
20 Jul
Rio Barra
2 : 1
Duque Caxiense
14 Jul
Duque Caxiense
0 : 3
Uniao Central
06 Jul
Juventus RJ
2 : 0
Duque Caxiense
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Barcelona EC

(Away)
12 Jul
Itaborai Profute
:
Barcelona EC
06 Jul
Barcelona EC
:
Itaborai Profute
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
Barcelona EC
0 : 7
Buzios
08 Jun
Uni Souza
2 : 0
Barcelona EC
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)