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Duque Caxiense vs Caac Brazil

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Marcelo J.
4' Event
Abreu L.
16' Event
Marcelo J.

AI Match Summary

Duque Caxiense in this Carioca C 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Duque Caxiense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Duque Caxiense
15%
Draws
59%
Caac Brazil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caac Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Caac Brazil lately — more wins on the board than Duque Caxiense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Duque Caxiense Clean Sheet 15%
Caac Brazil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Duque Caxiense Caac Brazil
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2025 Carioca C
Duque Caxiense vs Caac Brazil
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Duque Caxiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcelo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abreu L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Caac Brazil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Duque Caxiense 30 / 100
Caac Brazil 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Duque Caxiense Caac Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Duque Caxiense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caac Brazil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Duque Caxiense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (12 games).

Duque Caxiense has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Duque Caxiense VS Caac Brazil
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Duque Caxiense

(Home)
10 Aug
Buzios
2 : 5
Duque Caxiense
04 Aug
Duque Caxiense
0 : 1
Paraty
20 Jul
Rio Barra
2 : 1
Duque Caxiense
14 Jul
Duque Caxiense
0 : 3
Uniao Central
06 Jul
Juventus RJ
2 : 0
Duque Caxiense
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Caac Brazil

(Away)
12 Jul
Uniao Central
3 : 1
Caac Brazil
06 Jul
Caac Brazil
2 : 2
Uniao Central
03 Jul
Caac Brazil
0 : 2
Barcelona EC
28 Jun
EC Vera Cruz
1 : 2
Caac Brazil
07 Jun
Caac Brazil
3 : 1
Itaborai Profute
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paraty 12 9 1 2 33:11 28
2 Santa Cruz RJ 12 8 3 1 39:14 27
3 Riostrense 12 8 2 2 29:11 26
4 Uniao Central 12 7 3 2 34:18 24
5 Juventus RJ 12 7 3 2 24:9 24
6 EC Vera Cruz 12 6 2 4 18:11 20
7 Angra dos Reis 12 6 1 5 24:21 19
8 Rio Barra 11 4 0 7 12:24 12
9 Buzios 12 4 0 8 16:33 12
10 Duque Caxiense 12 3 1 8 15:19 10
11 Caac Brazil 12 3 0 9 10:35 9
12 Mesquita 12 2 1 9 8:28 7
13 Barcelona EC 11 1 1 9 5:33 4
Promotion - Carioca C 2025 (Play Offs)