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AI Match Summary
Duque de Caxias in this Carioca B1 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Bonsucesso lately — more wins on the board than Duque de Caxias.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Bonsucesso arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Duque de Caxias, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Duque de Caxias | Bonsucesso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 1.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Duque de Caxias Compare
Bonsucesso Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bonsucesso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Duque de Caxias's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Duque de Caxias went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
