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Durazno vs Uruguay Montevideo FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Motta B.
64' Event
Rodriguez Garcia E. F.
86' Event
Oscar

AI Match Summary

The Copa Uruguay 2024 game between Durazno and Uruguay Montevideo FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Durazno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Durazno
39%
Draws
30%
Uruguay Montevideo FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Durazno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Uruguay 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Durazno have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Durazno Clean Sheet 20%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durazno Uruguay Montevideo FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 Copa Uruguay
Durazno vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:1
Oct 6, 2007 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Durazno
1:2
Nov 14, 2006 Segunda Division
Durazno vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durazno Compare

Top Goalscorer Motta B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez Garcia E. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Oscar
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durazno 32 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durazno Uruguay Montevideo FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uruguay Montevideo FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Durazno found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Durazno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Frontera Rivera1
Club Nacional5
Durazno2
Uruguay Montevideo FC1
Litoral Paysandu1
Plaza Colonia3
Piriapolis-
Penarol-
Paso de la Arena0
Montevideo City2
Rio Negro SJ-
Danubio-
18 de Julio FB-
CA Cerro-
Rincon-
Progreso-
Deportivo Colonia1
Juventud2
San Carlos0
Albion2
Villa Espanola-
Wanderers-
Atletico Juanico0
Boston River2
Paysandu Bella Vista0
Defensor Sp.3
Bristol1
Racing Montevideo2
Ferro Carril2
Club Oriental De Futbol1
Melo Wanderers-
Cerro Largo-
1/8-finals
Club Nacional4
Durazno0
Plaza Colonia1
Piriapolis0
Montevideo City5
Rio Negro SJ1
18 de Julio FB3
Rincon2
Juventud0
Albion2
Villa Espanola0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.1
Racing Montevideo0
Ferro Carril2
Melo Wanderers1
Quarter-finals
Club Nacional4
Plaza Colonia0
Montevideo City4
18 de Julio FB0
Albion0
Boston River2
Defensor Sp.6
Ferro Carril0
Semi-finals
Club Nacional4
Montevideo City0
Boston River0
Defensor Sp.1
Final
Club Nacional2
Defensor Sp.3