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Durham vs United of Manchester

England England

Northern Premier League 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

United of Manchester in this Northern Premier League 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored United of Manchester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Durham
6%
Draws
90%
United of Manchester
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United of Manchester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to United of Manchester lately — more wins on the board than Durham.
  • United of Manchester are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Durham Clean Sheet 15%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham United of Manchester
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2011 FA Trophy
United of Manchester vs Durham
3:1
Nov 5, 2011 FA Trophy
Durham vs United of Manchester
1:1
Mar 13, 2010 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Durham
1:2
Jan 30, 2010 NPL Premier Division
Durham vs United of Manchester
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham 10 / 100
United of Manchester 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham United of Manchester

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

United of Manchester's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: United of Manchester registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Durham found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS United of Manchester
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guiseley38254973:4179
2Bradford PA38246895:5178
3Boston United38238790:3477
4North Ferriby United38229770:3875
5Kendal38218975:4771
6Retford United381811973:4665
7Matlock381791272:4960
8Buxton3816121066:4360
9Marine381761560:5557
10Stocksbridge381571680:6852
11Nantwich381571663:6952
12Ashton United381561748:6351
13United of Manchester381381762:6547
14Whitby3812101656:6246
15Frickley381291750:6745
16Burscough381352055:6544
17Hucknall381281865:8144
18Worksop38692341:7327
19Ossett Town38682446:9126
20Durham38303532:1649
21King’s Lynn00000:00