Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Durham W vs Blackburn W

England England

Women’s Championship 2024/2025 Maiden Castle, Durham
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Hack E.
44' Event
Newell L.
Assist: Walters G.
47' Event
Novak K.

AI Match Summary

Durham W in this Women’s Championship 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Durham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Durham W
15%
Draws
85%
Blackburn W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blackburn W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Durham W haven't matched Blackburn W's recent run of results.
  • Durham W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Women’s Championship 2024/2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Durham W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Durham W Clean Sheet 68%
Blackburn W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Blackburn W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Blackburn W
3:2
Nov 3, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Durham W
2:3
Oct 2, 2024 Women's League Cup
Blackburn W vs Durham W
1:2
Mar 3, 2024 WSL 2
Blackburn W vs Durham W
2:2
Oct 22, 2023 WSL 2
Durham W vs Blackburn W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Novak K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salicki B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Blackburn W Compare

Top Goalscorer Newell L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dugdale R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 95 / 100
Blackburn W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Blackburn W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durham W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Durham W scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Blackburn W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Blackburn W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 7

Blackburn W

(Away)
26 Oct
Burnley W
12 : 0
Blackburn W
04 May
Blackburn W
1 : 5
Newcastle Utd W
27 Apr
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Blackburn W
20 Apr
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 0
Blackburn W
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd W
6 : 0
Blackburn W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 London City Lionesses W 20 13 4 3 38:17 43
2 Birmingham W 20 12 5 3 34:15 41
3 Charlton W 20 10 7 3 38:21 37
4 Durham W 20 11 3 6 35:27 36
5 Newcastle Utd W 20 9 7 4 38:24 34
6 Bristol City W 20 8 6 6 34:24 30
7 Sunderland W 20 9 3 8 30:34 30
8 Southampton FC W 20 5 6 9 22:25 21
9 Portsmouth W 20 3 4 13 16:48 13
10 Blackburn W 20 3 3 14 16:41 12
11 Sheffield Utd W 20 1 4 15 12:37 7
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Main)