Sport Picks
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Women's League Cup Wolf Competitions Stadium, South Shields 
Match Events
13'
13'
Watson L.
26'
26'
Thomas M.
Assist: Lambert M.
37'
37'
Lumsden B.
Assist: Nobbs J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-5. The second leg ended 1-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd W come out ahead of Durham W on wins alone.
- Model gives Newcastle Utd W a 85% chance of winning this.
- Newcastle Utd W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Durham W | Newcastle Utd W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.64 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Women's League Cup
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:5
Oct 4, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
0:3
May 2, 2026 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Durham W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Durham W Compare
Top Goalscorer Watson L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Newcastle Utd W Compare
Top Goalscorer Thomas M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lumsden B.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Durham W 10 / 100
Newcastle Utd W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Durham W Newcastle Utd W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Durham W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Newcastle Utd W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.
Newcastle Utd W lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Durham W VS Newcastle Utd W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
3.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Durham W
(Home) 01 Nov
Durham W
1 : 5 Newcastle Utd W
25 Oct
Watford W
4 : 2 Durham W
21 Oct
Durham W
0 : 5 Birmingham W
18 Oct
Burnley W
3 : 2 Durham W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Durham W
1 : 5 Newcastle Utd W
21 Oct
Durham W
0 : 5 Birmingham W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5 Manchester United W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2 Nottingham W
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd W
(Away) 01 Nov
Durham W
1 : 5 Newcastle Utd W
25 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd W
21 Oct
Everton W
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd W
18 Oct
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1 Sunderland W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Durham W
1 : 5 Newcastle Utd W
25 Oct
Nottingham W
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd W
21 Oct
Everton W
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd W
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester United W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23:5 | 12 |
| 2 | London City Lionesses W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 3 | Aston Villa W | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 11 |
| 4 | Everton W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 5 | West Ham W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 6 | Tottenham W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 7 | Brighton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 9 | Crystal Palace W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 10 | Sunderland W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Southampton FC W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 12 | Wolverhampton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Birmingham W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Ipswich W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Nottingham W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 16 | Newcastle Utd W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 17 | Leicester W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Charlton W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Burnley W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 20 | Watford W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
| 21 | Bristol City W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 2 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:13 | 2 |
| 23 | Durham W | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:18 | 0 |
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