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Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 Maiden Castle, Durham
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Antonsdottir H.
43'
Bradley D.
45'
Thomas M.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd W in this WSL 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newcastle Utd W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Durham W
15%
Draws
85%
Newcastle Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle Utd W lately — more wins on the board than Durham W.
  • Model gives Newcastle Utd W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Newcastle Utd W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
0:3
May 2, 2026 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Durham W
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Newcastle Utd W
3:1
Oct 6, 2024 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Durham W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Antonsdottir H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nobbs J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 10 / 100
Newcastle Utd W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Newcastle Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd W conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Newcastle Utd W's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Newcastle Utd W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5
Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1
Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
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Newcastle Utd W

(Away)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)