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Durham W vs Nottingham W

England England

WSL 2 Maiden Castle, Durham
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Hutchison B.
Assist: Wilson S.
16' Event
Boye-Hlorkah C.
Assist: Almqvist T.
39'
Bradley D.

AI Match Summary

Nottingham W in this WSL 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nottingham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Durham W
20%
Draws
58%
Nottingham W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nottingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nottingham W lately — more wins on the board than Durham W.
  • Model gives Nottingham W a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nottingham W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Durham W Clean Sheet 14%
Nottingham W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Durham W Nottingham W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.24
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Nottingham W
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 WSL 2
Nottingham W vs Durham W
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Nottingham W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hutchison B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nottingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Boye-Hlorkah C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brougham G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 15 / 100
Nottingham W 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Durham W Nottingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Nottingham W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Durham W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Nottingham W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
30 Aug
Liverpool W
7 : 1
Durham W
02 May
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 1
Durham W
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham W

(Away)
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2
Nottingham W
13 Sept
Nottingham W
2 : 2
Watford W
06 Sept
Ipswich W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
02 May
Nottingham W
0 : 3
Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Portsmouth W
0 : 1
Nottingham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Sunderland W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Wolverhampton W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
4 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Southampton FC W 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Nottingham W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Ipswich W 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bristol City W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
9 Watford W 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
10 Burnley W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Durham W 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
12 Sheffield Utd W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)