Sport Picks

England

WSL 2 Maiden Castle

Durham W

2 - 1

Portsmouth W

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Collins I.

49'

Primmer T.

57'

Hepple B.

Assist: Lambert M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Durham W in this WSL 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Durham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Durham W

11%

Draws

Portsmouth W

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Durham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Portsmouth W haven't matched Durham W's recent run of results.
80% — that's where the model lands on Durham W taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Durham W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Durham W Clean Sheet 16%

Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Durham W	Portsmouth W
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	8	3
Losses	15	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 WSL 2

Durham W vs Portsmouth W

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sep 7, 2025 WSL 2

Portsmouth W vs Durham W

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Mar 30, 2025 WSL 2

Durham W vs Portsmouth W

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

6:0

Sep 14, 2024 WSL 2

Portsmouth W vs Durham W

Possession: 53% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

0:3

Apr 13, 2014 Women’s FA Cup

Portsmouth W vs Durham W

Possession: 47% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hepple B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Portsmouth W Compare

Top Goalscorer Primmer T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 75 / 100

Portsmouth W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Durham W Portsmouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Durham W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Portsmouth W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Durham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Portsmouth W

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham W	22	14	2	6	46:24	44
2	Crystal Palace W	22	13	5	4	44:26	44
3	Charlton W	22	12	6	4	31:21	42
4	Bristol City W	22	11	4	7	47:31	37
5	Southampton FC W	22	10	5	7	44:26	35
6	Newcastle Utd W	22	8	9	5	32:25	33
7	Nottingham W	22	9	3	10	27:35	30
8	Sunderland W	22	6	6	10	28:35	24
9	Ipswich W	22	6	5	11	26:42	23
10	Durham W	22	5	7	10	27:35	22
11	Sheffield Utd W	22	4	6	12	21:43	18
12	Portsmouth W	22	4	2	16	23:53	14