Sport Picks
Durham W vs Portsmouth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
WSL 2 2025/2026 Maiden Castle, Durham 
Match Events
28'
28'
Collins I.
49'
49'
Primmer T.
57'
57'
Hepple B.
Assist: Lambert M.
AI Match Summary
Durham W in this WSL 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Durham W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portsmouth W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Durham W haven't matched Portsmouth W's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Portsmouth W taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Durham W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Durham W Clean Sheet 10%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Durham W | Portsmouth W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 19 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 WSL 2
Durham W vs Portsmouth W
2:1
Sep 7, 2025 WSL 2
Portsmouth W vs Durham W
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 WSL 2
Durham W vs Portsmouth W
6:0
Sep 14, 2024 WSL 2
Portsmouth W vs Durham W
0:3
Apr 13, 2014 Women’s FA Cup
Portsmouth W vs Durham W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Durham W Compare
Top Goalscorer Hepple B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Portsmouth W Compare
Top Goalscorer Primmer T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Durham W 10 / 100
Portsmouth W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Durham W Portsmouth W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Portsmouth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Durham W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Portsmouth W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Portsmouth W lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Durham W VS Portsmouth W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Durham W
(Home) 04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5 Manchester United W
27 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
4 : 1 Durham W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2 Nottingham W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2 Durham W
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04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3 Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Durham W
1 : 5 Manchester United W
20 Sept
Durham W
1 : 2 Nottingham W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3 Southampton FC W
26 Apr
Durham W
2 : 1 Sheffield Utd W
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Portsmouth W
(Away) 04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0 Lewes W
20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2 Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4 Portsmouth W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0 Swindon W
16 Aug
Fulham W
1 : 0 Portsmouth W
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20 Sept
Real Bedford W
0 : 2 Portsmouth W
13 Sept
Plymouth W
0 : 4 Portsmouth W
16 Aug
Fulham W
1 : 0 Portsmouth W
02 May
Crystal Palace W
6 : 1 Portsmouth W
28 Mar
Sheffield Utd W
2 : 1 Portsmouth W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham W | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 46:24 | 44 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace W | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 44:26 | 44 |
| 3 | Charlton W | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 31:21 | 42 |
| 4 | Bristol City W | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 47:31 | 37 |
| 5 | Southampton FC W | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 44:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Newcastle Utd W | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 32:25 | 33 |
| 7 | Nottingham W | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:35 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland W | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28:35 | 24 |
| 9 | Ipswich W | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:42 | 23 |
| 10 | Durham W | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd W | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:43 | 18 |
| 12 | Portsmouth W | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 23:53 | 14 |
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
