Sport Picks

England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Maiden Castle, Durham

Durham W

Wed, Sep 24, 2025

1 - 2

06:00 PM

Sheffield Utd W

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Ralph J.

26'

Reavill J.

44'

Ralph J.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sheffield Utd W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Durham W

15%

Draws

Sheffield Utd W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Durham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Durham W haven't matched Sheffield Utd W's recent run of results.
85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Sheffield Utd W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sheffield Utd W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%

Durham W Clean Sheet 14%

Sheffield Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Durham W	Sheffield Utd W
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	8
Draws	7	5
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	1.14	1
Goals Conceded	2	2.07
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WSL 2

Durham W vs Sheffield Utd W

2:1

Dec 14, 2025 Women’s FA Cup

Durham W vs Sheffield Utd W

0:1

Nov 2, 2025 WSL 2

Sheffield Utd W vs Durham W

2:1

Sep 24, 2025 Women's League Cup

Durham W vs Sheffield Utd W

1:2

Feb 2, 2025 WSL 2

Sheffield Utd W vs Durham W

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Durham W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Sheffield Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ralph J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Durham W 30 / 100

Sheffield Utd W 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Durham W Sheffield Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Durham W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Durham W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sheffield Utd W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Sheffield Utd W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Durham W VS Sheffield Utd W

1.25 Goals Scored 0.88

2.38 Goals Conceded 3

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Durham W

(Home)

20 Sept

Durham W

1 : 2

Nottingham W

13 Sept

Leicester W

4 : 2

Durham W

06 Sept

Durham W

1 : 3

Southampton FC W

30 Aug

Liverpool W

7 : 1

Durham W

02 May

Newcastle Utd W

0 : 1

Durham W

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Sheffield Utd W

(Away)

20 Sept

Newcastle Utd W

4 : 1

Sheffield Utd W

13 Sept

Wolverhampton W

3 : 1

Sheffield Utd W

06 Sept

Sheffield Utd W

0 : 1

Leicester W

08 Aug

Liverpool W

5 : 0

Sheffield Utd W

02 May

Sheffield Utd W

0 : 4

Bristol City W

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