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Dusheti vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Javashvili O.
69' Event
Gabisonia D.
84' Event
Karchava B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025 game between Dusheti and Bakhmaro Chokhatauri finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
0%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dusheti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dusheti come out ahead of Bakhmaro Chokhatauri on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dusheti a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 20%
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 19 2
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.67 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
4:1
Jun 16, 2025 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Dusheti
0:5
Nov 15, 2023 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Dusheti
0:2
Aug 4, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
1:1
Nov 11, 2022 Liga 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri vs Dusheti
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusheti Compare

Top Goalscorer Javashvili O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabisonia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri Compare

Top Goalscorer Karchava B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 85 / 100
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dusheti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Bakhmaro Chokhatauri's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Dusheti found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (36 games).

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
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Bakhmaro Chokhatauri

(Away)
05 Dec
WIT Georgia
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
28 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
0 : 2
Shturmi
21 Nov
Dusheti
4 : 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
13 Nov
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
2 : 4
Margveti 2006
06 Nov
Didube
5 : 0
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)