Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Molashvili T.
38'
Janelidze G.
59'
Sub
Tchikaidze I. In: Gugberidze B.
Out: Tchikaidze I.

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Dusheti
20%
Draws
51%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won more games recently than Dusheti.
  • Dusheti are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.19 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
0:2
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Dusheti vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Aug 10, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Dusheti
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dusheti Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gugberidze B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 36 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti FC Gareji Sagarejo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dusheti found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

FC Gareji Sagarejo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dusheti went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
20 Sept
Bolnisi
1 : 2
Dusheti
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
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FC Gareji Sagarejo

(Away)
20 Sept
Shturmi
1 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Samtredia
6 : 1
FC Gareji Sagarejo
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Merani Martvili
1 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 27 14 8 5 35:28 50
2 Telavi 27 11 10 6 29:25 43
3 Shturmi 27 11 10 6 29:23 43
4 Merani Martvili 27 10 7 10 30:34 37
5 Samtredia 27 11 4 12 48:40 37
6 Dusheti 27 10 5 12 30:37 35
7 Bolnisi 27 8 9 10 35:34 33
8 Odishi 1919 27 8 8 11 29:37 32
9 Kolkheti 1913 27 6 10 11 34:33 28
10 Gori 27 6 9 12 27:35 27
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)