Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dusheti vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Dusheti Logo

Dusheti

4 - 1
FT
Guria Logo

Guria

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dusheti in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dusheti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Dusheti
15%
Draws
80%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Dusheti.
  • Guria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dusheti here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dusheti Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dusheti Guria
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.58
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Georgian Cup
Guria vs Dusheti
1:2
Dec 1, 2023 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
4:1
Aug 24, 2023 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
0:1
Dec 1, 2022 Liga 3
Dusheti vs Guria
3:1
Jul 10, 2022 Liga 3
Guria vs Dusheti
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dusheti 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dusheti Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Dusheti's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Guria conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Dusheti went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dusheti VS Guria
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dusheti

(Home)
16 Sept
Dusheti
0 : 1
Odishi 1919
12 Sept
Merani Martvili
3 : 1
Dusheti
06 Sept
Dusheti
3 : 4
Shturmi
30 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Dusheti
26 Aug
Gagra
1 : 0
Dusheti
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Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)