Sport Picks
Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
Germany
2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 Merkur Spiel-Arena, Düsseldorf 
Match Events
7'
7'
Sub
Tolkin J. In: Ivezic M.
Out: Tolkin J.
10'
10'
Meffert J.
16'
16'
Sub
Rasmussen C. In: Ljubicic M.
Out: Rasmussen C.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 game between Dusseldorf and Holstein Kiel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holstein Kiel.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dusseldorf
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dusseldorf come out ahead of Holstein Kiel on wins alone.
- Model gives Dusseldorf a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 17%
Holstein Kiel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dusseldorf | Holstein Kiel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 3.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Dusseldorf
1:0
May 11, 2024 2. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel vs Dusseldorf
1:1
Dec 10, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
0:1
May 6, 2023 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Holstein Kiel
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dusseldorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Itten C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Holstein Kiel Compare
Top Goalscorer Harres P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nekic I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dusseldorf 84 / 100
Holstein Kiel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dusseldorf Holstein Kiel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dusseldorf scored in 71% of their last 35 games.
Holstein Kiel has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Dusseldorf has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dusseldorf VS Holstein Kiel
3.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dusseldorf
(Home) 25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
18 Jul
LASK Linz
2 : 0 Dusseldorf
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
09 Jul
VfL Benrath
1 : 12 Dusseldorf
08 Jul
SC St.Tonis
0 : 5 Dusseldorf
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 1 Dortmund
15 Jul
Dusseldorf
2 : 0 Ruzomberok
10 May
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Elversberg
24 Apr
Dusseldorf
3 : 1 Dresden
10 Apr
Dusseldorf
1 : 2 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 3
Holstein Kiel
(Away) 29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1 Al Ahli SC
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2 : 1 Sonderjyske
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Hoffenheim
3 : 1 Holstein Kiel
25 Jul
Mainz
3 : 0 Holstein Kiel
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
17 May
Dresden
2 : 1 Holstein Kiel
25 Apr
Hertha Berlin
0 : 1 Holstein Kiel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Schalke | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50:31 | 70 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59:45 | 62 |
| 4 | Hannover | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60:44 | 60 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57:45 | 52 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47:44 | 51 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 46 |
| 9 | Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49:47 | 44 |
| 10 | Karlsruher | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54:53 | 41 |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44:48 | 41 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52:58 | 39 |
| 15 | Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:68 | 37 |
| 17 | Dusseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33:53 | 37 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:61 | 30 |
Promotion - Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga (Main)
