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DVS '33 Ermelo vs Ajax (Am)

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
DVS '33 Ermelo Logo

DVS '33 Ermelo

4 - 2
FT
Ajax (Am) Logo

Ajax (Am)

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Soree Z.
23' Event
Buis T.
48' Event
van Looy S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

DVS '33 Ermelo in this Derde Divisie 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored DVS '33 Ermelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
DVS '33 Ermelo
20%
Draws
0%
Ajax (Am)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ajax (Am) haven't matched DVS '33 Ermelo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives DVS '33 Ermelo a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • DVS '33 Ermelo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 20%
Ajax (Am) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DVS '33 Ermelo Ajax (Am)
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.82 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Ajax (Am)
4:2
Nov 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:3
May 21, 2022 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Ajax (Am)
1:0
Aug 21, 2021 Derde Divisie
Ajax (Am) vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:1
Mar 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Ajax (Am)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DVS '33 Ermelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Soree Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Looy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ajax (Am) Compare

Top Goalscorer Buis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misa-Danso K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DVS '33 Ermelo 85 / 100
Ajax (Am) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DVS '33 Ermelo Ajax (Am)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: DVS '33 Ermelo scored in 91% of their last 34 outings.

Ajax (Am) let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Ajax (Am) has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

DVS '33 Ermelo VS Ajax (Am)
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Home)
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2
DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
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Ajax (Am)

(Away)
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
29 Jul
Ajax (Am)
3 : 4
Jong Almere City
04 Jun
Ajax (Am)
0 : 1
Kampong
31 May
Kampong
4 : 2
Ajax (Am)
24 May
Genemuiden
1 : 0
Ajax (Am)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)