Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DVS '33 Ermelo vs AZSV

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sahbaz D.
43' Event
van der Eerden R.
49' Event
de Ruiter M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with DVS '33 Ermelo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
DVS '33 Ermelo
35%
Draws
28%
AZSV
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AZSV haven't matched DVS '33 Ermelo's recent run of results.
  • Model gives DVS '33 Ermelo a 37% chance of winning this.
  • DVS '33 Ermelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor DVS '33 Ermelo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 20%
AZSV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DVS '33 Ermelo AZSV
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 13 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.67 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2016 KNVB Beker
DVS '33 Ermelo vs AZSV
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DVS '33 Ermelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahbaz D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader de Ruiter M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

AZSV Compare

Top Goalscorer van der Eerden R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouwmeister R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DVS '33 Ermelo 40 / 100
AZSV 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DVS '33 Ermelo AZSV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: DVS '33 Ermelo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

AZSV has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

DVS '33 Ermelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DVS '33 Ermelo VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

DVS '33 Ermelo

(Home)
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2
DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1
Harkemase Boys
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1
DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6

AZSV

(Away)
01 Jun
Huizen
1 : 1
AZSV
29 May
AZSV
0 : 1
Huizen
03 Jun
Capelle
4 : 1
AZSV
30 May
AZSV
2 : 2
Capelle
04 Jul
AZSV
1 : 1
De Graafschap
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
UNA -
TBD -
TBD -
ODIN '59 -
Westlandia -
TBD -
SteDoCo 0
Huizen 2
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VVSB -
TBD -
TBD -
USV Hercules -
HBS Craeyenhout -
TBD -
RKZVC 0
Achilles Veen 4
Harkemase Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
Papendorp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Katwijk -
Almere City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RKSV UDI 19 5
VV Noordwijk 4
TBD -
Rijnsburgse Boys -
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Barendrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
SV Juliana 31 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Excelsior -
Telstar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KVV Quick 20 3
WV-HEDW 0
TBD -
JVC '31 Cuijk -
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Jodan Boys 2
Swift 1
Avanti 0
SVZW Wierden 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hardenberg -
Dongen -
TBD -
Flevo Boys 1
OFC Oostzaan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
HV & CV Quick 2
Oranje Wit 0
TBD -
EVV -
De Dijk 3
Lisse 1
TBD -
ONS Sneek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitesse -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lienden -
SVV Scheveningen -
TBD -
TBD -
GVVV -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
De Treffers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RVV Hercules 2
Be Quick 1887 0
VV Chevremont 1
ASWH 2
IJsselmeervogels -
TBD -
TBD -
Quick Boys -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Achilles 29 -
OJC Rosmalen 3
Oranje Nassau 0
Velsen 0
VV Groningen 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Utrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
Capelle -
TBD -
VVOG 1
RKSV Halsteren 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Groningen -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
DVS '33 Ermelo -
TBD -
Staphorst 1
AZSV 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zwolle -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozakken Boys -
TEC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
VV Schaesberg 3
VV Kloetinge 1
TBD -
HSC '21 -
Rijnvogels 2
Groene Ster 0
VV Bennekom 1
Alkmaarse FC 1934 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/64-finals
Sparta Rotterdam -
TBD -
TBD -
Dordrecht -
Roda -
TBD -
TBD -
PSV -
UNA 3
ODIN '59 2
Westlandia 3
Huizen 4
Excelsior Maassluis -
TBD -
TBD -
Heracles -
VVSB 2
USV Hercules 0
HBS Craeyenhout 2
Achilles Veen 3
Harkemase Boys 6
Papendorp 5
TBD -
Katwijk -
Almere City -
TBD -
RKSV UDI 19 0
Rijnsburgse Boys 1
Maastricht -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Volendam -
Feyenoord -
TBD -
TBD -
TOP Oss -
Barendrecht 3
SV Juliana 31 1
TBD -
Excelsior -
Telstar -
TBD -
KVV Quick 20 1
JVC '31 Cuijk 3
Nijmegen -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Haag -
Jodan Boys 3
SVZW Wierden 0
TBD -
Hardenberg -
Dongen 2
OFC Oostzaan 1
TBD -
G.A. Eagles -
Waalwijk -
TBD -
HV & CV Quick 0
EVV 1
De Dijk 2
ONS Sneek 1
TBD -
Vitesse -
AZ Alkmaar -
TBD -
TBD -
Lienden -
SVV Scheveningen 5
GVVV 2
TBD -
FC Emmen -
Spakenburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Sittard -
De Treffers -
TBD -
RVV Hercules 0
ASWH 2
IJsselmeervogels 2
Quick Boys 0
TBD -
Achilles 29 -
OJC Rosmalen 5
VV Groningen 1
TBD -
Koninklijke HFC -
Eindhoven FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Den Bosch -
De Graafschap -
TBD -
TBD -
Heerenveen -
Utrecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Twente -
Capelle 3
RKSV Halsteren 0
TBD -
Groningen -
Venlo -
TBD -
TBD -
NAC Breda -
DVS '33 Ermelo 4
AZSV 2
TBD -
Zwolle -
Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
Willem II -
Helmond Sport -
TBD -
AFC 1
Kozakken Boys 5
TEC -
TBD -
VV Schaesberg 2
HSC '21 3
Rijnvogels 6
Alkmaarse FC 1934 2
TBD -
Cambuur -
1/32-finals
Sparta Rotterdam 3
Dordrecht 1
Roda 0
PSV 4
UNA 1
Huizen 0
Excelsior Maassluis 1
Heracles 3
VVSB 4
Achilles Veen 1
Harkemase Boys 1
Katwijk 2
Almere City 2
Rijnsburgse Boys 0
Maastricht 3
FC Volendam 4
Feyenoord 4
TOP Oss 1
Barendrecht 0
Excelsior 1
Telstar 3
JVC '31 Cuijk 1
Nijmegen 1
Den Haag 2
Jodan Boys 3
Hardenberg 2
Dongen 1
G.A. Eagles 3
Waalwijk 3
EVV 0
De Dijk 2
Vitesse 7
AZ Alkmaar 4
Lienden 1
SVV Scheveningen 1
FC Emmen 2
Spakenburg 2
Sittard 1
De Treffers 0
ASWH 3
IJsselmeervogels 3
Achilles 29 1
OJC Rosmalen 1
Koninklijke HFC 6
Eindhoven FC 3
Den Bosch 2
De Graafschap 1
Heerenveen 5
Utrecht 3
Twente 1
Capelle 0
Groningen 4
Venlo 2
NAC Breda 0
DVS '33 Ermelo 1
Zwolle 4
Ajax 5
Willem II 0
Helmond Sport 0
Kozakken Boys 3
TEC 5
HSC '21 1
Rijnvogels 0
Cambuur 1
1/16-finals
Sparta Rotterdam 3
PSV 1
UNA 0
Heracles 5
VVSB 3
Katwijk 0
Almere City 1
FC Volendam 2
Feyenoord 4
Excelsior 0
Telstar 1
Den Haag 2
Jodan Boys 2
G.A. Eagles 1
Waalwijk 1
Vitesse 4
AZ Alkmaar 1
FC Emmen 0
Spakenburg 2
ASWH 3
IJsselmeervogels 3
Koninklijke HFC 1
Eindhoven FC 1
Heerenveen 2
Utrecht 1
Groningen 0
Venlo 1
Zwolle 2
Ajax 6
Kozakken Boys 1
TEC 0
Cambuur 4
1/8-finals
Sparta Rotterdam 3
Heracles 0
VVSB 1
FC Volendam 4
Feyenoord 5
Den Haag 1
Jodan Boys 0
Vitesse 4
AZ Alkmaar 2
ASWH 0
IJsselmeervogels 0
Heerenveen 1
Utrecht 2
Zwolle 1
Ajax 1
Cambuur 2
Quarter-finals
Sparta Rotterdam 2
FC Volendam 1
Feyenoord 0
Vitesse 2
AZ Alkmaar 1
Heerenveen 0
Utrecht 2
Cambuur 3
Semi-finals
Sparta Rotterdam 1
Vitesse 2
AZ Alkmaar 1
Cambuur 0
Final
Vitesse 2
AZ Alkmaar 0