Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Harkemase Boys in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harkemase Boys.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harkemase Boys
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Harkemase Boys have won more games recently than DVS '33 Ermelo.
- Win probability leans Harkemase Boys's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DVS '33 Ermelo | Harkemase Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs DVS '33 Ermelo
2:2
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys
1:1
Mar 22, 2025 Derde Divisie
Harkemase Boys vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DVS '33 Ermelo 18 / 100
Harkemase Boys 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DVS '33 Ermelo Harkemase Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harkemase Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DVS '33 Ermelo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Harkemase Boys let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: DVS '33 Ermelo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
DVS '33 Ermelo VS Harkemase Boys
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Home) 26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Rijnvogels
Page 1 of 3
Harkemase Boys
(Away) 26 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 0 VV Scherpenzeel
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SVZW Wierden
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
05 Sept
Eemdijk
1 : 2 Harkemase Boys
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
25 Apr
Excelsior 31
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Excelsior 31 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:6 | 16 |
| 5 | VV Scherpenzeel | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 7 | TEC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20:16 | 11 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | 5 |
| 15 | Staphorst | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9:24 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:2 | 16 |
| 3 | Lisse | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 14 |
| 5 | GOES | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 7 | Gemert | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Dongen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 9 | VV Zwaluwen | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 13 | UNA | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 14 | VVSB | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 16 | TOGB | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 5 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
