Sport Picks
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between DVS '33 Ermelo and USV Hercules finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward DVS '33 Ermelo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- USV Hercules's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what DVS '33 Ermelo have produced (1.59).
- 50% — that's where the model lands on DVS '33 Ermelo taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 20%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | DVS '33 Ermelo | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:2
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
4:3
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo
4:4
Feb 3, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
DVS '33 Ermelo 85 / 100
USV Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
DVS '33 Ermelo USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick DVS '33 Ermelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
DVS '33 Ermelo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
USV Hercules has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
DVS '33 Ermelo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
DVS '33 Ermelo VS USV Hercules
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Home) 12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
22 Aug
DVS '33 Ermelo
0 : 1 Harkemase Boys
30 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Rijnvogels
23 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 0 Huizen
09 May
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 3
USV Hercules
(Away) 12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
23 May
TEC
0 : 0 USV Hercules
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
