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Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bakay D.
39' Event
Vorona N.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Khrisanfov N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Dynamo Barnaul and Ural 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Barnaul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dynamo Barnaul
20%
Draws
7%
Ural 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Barnaul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ural 2 haven't matched Dynamo Barnaul's recent run of results.
  • Dynamo Barnaul are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Dynamo Barnaul Clean Sheet 17%
Ural 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Barnaul Ural 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2
3:1
May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
6:3
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Ural 2 vs Dynamo Barnaul
2:3
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2
3:1
Sep 6, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Dynamo Barnaul vs Ural 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Barnaul Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakay D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ural 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Barnaul 84 / 100
Ural 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Barnaul Ural 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Barnaul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ural 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Dynamo Barnaul scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Dynamo Barnaul has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Barnaul VS Ural 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Barnaul

(Home)
18 Oct
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 0
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
11 Oct
KDV Tomsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Barnaul
04 Oct
Akron Togliatti 2
2 : 0
Dynamo Barnaul
25 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
20 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
1 : 2
Dynamo Barnaul
Page 1 of 6

Ural 2

(Away)
19 Oct
Ural 2
0 : 2
FK Izhevsk
11 Oct
Orenburg 2
1 : 1
Ural 2
04 Oct
Ural 2
1 : 2
Nosta
27 Sept
Chelyabinsk 2
3 : 2
Ural 2
20 Sept
FK Izhevsk
2 : 1
Ural 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)