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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Ural

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Akhmedov I.
37'
Begic S.
39' Event
Agalarov G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Dynamo Makhachkala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dynamo Makhachkala
20%
Draws
58%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ural carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ural's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Ural arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Ural
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Ural
2:0
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Ural vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrezigue H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ural Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 14 / 100
Ural 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Ural has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Dynamo Makhachkala went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Ural
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
30 Aug
Rubin Kazan
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
23 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1
Krasnodar
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Ural

(Away)
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
22 Aug
Ural
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dynamo Makhachkala 3
Ural 0
Akron Togliatti 2
R. Volgograd 1