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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Ural

Russia Russia

Premier League 2025/2026 Anzhi Arena, Kaspijsk
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Akhmedov I.
37'
Begic S.
39' Event
Agalarov G.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Dynamo Makhachkala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dynamo Makhachkala
40%
Draws
29%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Makhachkala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Dynamo Makhachkala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Makhachkala, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 68%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Ural
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Ural
2:0
May 20, 2026 Premier League
Ural vs Dynamo Makhachkala
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrezigue H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ural Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 42 / 100
Ural 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ural let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Dynamo Makhachkala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Ural
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
16 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 1
Dynamo Petersburg
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
Gimnasia L.P.
04 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 0
Leningradets
01 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
Page 1 of 6

Ural

(Away)
19 Jul
Ural
3 : 0
Yenisey
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1
Torpedo Moscow
04 Jul
Ural
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
20 Jun
Ural
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk
23 May
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Ural
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Dynamo Makhachkala3
Ural0
Akron Togliatti2
R. Volgograd1