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Dynamo Makhachkala vs Vardar

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Alarcon A.
35' Event
Agalarov G.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Dapo J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dynamo Makhachkala and Vardar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Makhachkala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dynamo Makhachkala
39%
Draws
31%
Vardar
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vardar come out ahead of Dynamo Makhachkala on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Makhachkala Vardar
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Vardar
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Alarcon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dapo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vardar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Makhachkala 41 / 100
Vardar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Makhachkala Vardar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DYN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Dynamo Makhachkala went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Vardar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Makhachkala VS Vardar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Makhachkala

(Home)
16 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 1
Dynamo Petersburg
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
Gimnasia L.P.
04 Jul
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 0
Leningradets
01 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
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Vardar

(Away)
14 Jul
KuPS
2 : 3
Vardar
07 Jul
Vardar
0 : 2
KuPS
30 Jun
Virtus
2 : 3
Vardar
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1
Vardar
23 May
Vardar
3 : 0
Shkendija Tetovo
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