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Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dynamo Moscow host CSKA Moscow in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. CSKA Moscow have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Dynamo Moscow have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Dynamo Moscow have won 3 to CSKA Moscow's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 5:2. xG projections (1.81 - 1.25) back Dynamo Moscow to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dynamo Moscow
15%
Draws
34%
CSKA Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow haven't matched Dynamo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dynamo Moscow's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 19%
CSKA Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow CSKA Moscow
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.83 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
5:2
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Moscow
1:4
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Moscow
1:2
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
1:3
Apr 16, 2025 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs CSKA Moscow
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 58 / 100
CSKA Moscow 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow CSKA Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CSKA Moscow conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Dynamo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Dynamo Moscow found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS CSKA Moscow
2 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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CSKA Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
CSKA Moscow
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
12 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
05 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 2
CSKA Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)