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Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow
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Match Events

28'
Rubens
32'
Fomin D.
36'
Alarcon A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Dynamo Moscow and Dynamo Makhachkala finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dynamo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Dynamo Moscow
15%
Draws
24%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dynamo Moscow a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dynamo Moscow here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Dynamo Makhachkala
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:1
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala
3:0
Aug 31, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Dynamo Makhachkala
4:0
Sep 29, 2024 Premier League
Dynamo Makhachkala vs Dynamo Moscow
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Marinkin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skopintsev D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Dynamo Makhachkala Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 86 / 100
Dynamo Makhachkala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Dynamo Makhachkala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dynamo Makhachkala has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Dynamo Moscow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dynamo Moscow scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Dynamo Makhachkala
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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Dynamo Makhachkala

(Away)
03 Oct
Dynamo Makhachkala
3 : 2
Leningradets
17 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Makhachkala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)