Sport Picks
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Russian Cup VTB Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
27'
27'
Joao Batxi
38'
38'
Babaev U.
44'
44'
Mukailov K.
Assist: Utkin D.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
30%
26%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dynamo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Krasnodar lately — more wins on the board than Dynamo Moscow.
- Win probability leans Dynamo Moscow's way, sitting at 50%.
- Krasnodar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dynamo Moscow, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dynamo Moscow | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:1
May 11, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
2:1
May 7, 2026 Russian Cup
Krasnodar vs Dynamo Moscow
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
0:0
Feb 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Krasnodar
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dynamo Moscow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Krasnodar Compare
Top Goalscorer Mukailov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dynamo Moscow 49 / 100
Krasnodar 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dynamo Moscow Krasnodar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dynamo Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Dynamo Moscow scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Krasnodar let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Dynamo Moscow VS Krasnodar
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Dynamo Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
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04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
23 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
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Krasnodar
(Away) 03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
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03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
23 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Krasnodar
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
