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Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow
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Match Events

64'
Sub
Gladyshev Y. In: Miranchuk An.
Out: Gladyshev Y.
64'
Sub
Fomin D. In: Okishor V.
Out: Fomin D.
64'
Sub
Rahmanovic A. In: Kramaric M.
Out: Rahmanovic A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dynamo Moscow
20%
Draws
34%
Krylya Sovetov Samara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow have won more games recently than Krylya Sovetov Samara.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 18%
Krylya Sovetov Samara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dynamo Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:0
Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0
Oct 22, 2025 Russian Cup
Dynamo Moscow vs Krylya Sovetov Samara
4:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Samara vs Dynamo Moscow
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dynamo Moscow 31 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dynamo Moscow Krylya Sovetov Samara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Krylya Sovetov Samara's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Dynamo Moscow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dynamo Moscow scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dynamo Moscow VS Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dynamo Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
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Krylya Sovetov Samara

(Away)
02 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
4 : 0
Akron Togliatti
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2
Krasnodar
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)