Sport Picks
Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League VTB Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
24'
24'
Marinkin T.
27'
27'
Bessmertniy S.
31'
31'
Pozo I.
AI Match Summary
Dynamo Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dynamo Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Rodina Moscow haven't matched Dynamo Moscow's recent run of results.
- Dynamo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Dynamo Moscow have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dynamo Moscow | Rodina Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 12 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:2
Aug 23, 2026 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dynamo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Tyukavin K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Miranchuk An.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Rodina Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Pozo I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dynamo Moscow 85 / 100
Rodina Moscow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dynamo Moscow Rodina Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Dynamo Moscow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Dynamo Moscow's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
Rodina Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Dynamo Moscow VS Rodina Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dynamo Moscow
(Home) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0 Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0 Akhmat Grozny
23 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 4
Rodina Moscow
(Away) 04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1 Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2 Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3 Rodina Moscow
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1 Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0 Rodina Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
