Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai play Banga in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dziugas Telsiai averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. Banga averaged 1.66 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Dziugas Telsiai won 3, Banga won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 20, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.13 for Banga. This points to a Dziugas Telsiai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Dziugas Telsiai
27%
Draws
35%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai picked up more points recently compared to Banga.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 21%
Banga Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai Banga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
1:0
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1
Jul 13, 2025 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Venckus I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 38 / 100
Banga 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai Banga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dziugas Telsiai or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dziugas Telsiai attacking → ← attacking Banga

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dziugas Telsiai scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Banga let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Dziugas Telsiai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Banga lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 45
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suduva1878321:1629
2Dziugas Telsiai1885528:2229
3Transinvest1784527:2228
4FK Kauno Zalgiris1776431:1527
5Banga1876519:1327
6Zalgiris1874724:2125
7FC Hegelmann1839619:2818
8FK Panevezys18531017:3318
9FA Siauliai1827918:3413
10Riteriai00000:00