Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Piliukaitis V.
49'
Pavlovskij N.
52' Event
Venckus I.

AI Match Summary

Banga in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Banga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dziugas Telsiai
30%
Draws
58%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Banga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Dziugas Telsiai's 1.27.
  • Banga are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 18%
Banga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai Banga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.27 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:0
Jul 19, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
1:0
May 20, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
1:0
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Dziugas Telsiai
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Venckus I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 15 / 100
Banga 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dziugas Telsiai found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Banga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Dziugas Telsiai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS Banga
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
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Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)