Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium, Telsiai
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Sobowale R.
42' Event
Bunchukov D.
Assist: Piliukaitis V.
54' Event
Vermeulen V.
Assist: Piliukaitis V.

AI Match Summary

Dziugas Telsiai in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dziugas Telsiai
20%
Draws
40%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Dziugas Telsiai have won more games recently than FA Siauliai.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 17%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dziugas Telsiai FA Siauliai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
3:4
Jun 24, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
2:1
Jun 12, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai
4:3
Apr 12, 2026 TOPLYGA
Dziugas Telsiai vs FA Siauliai
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
FA Siauliai vs Dziugas Telsiai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobowale R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bunchukov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbaliauskas N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 31 / 100
FA Siauliai 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dziugas Telsiai FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Dziugas Telsiai found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: FA Siauliai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS FA Siauliai
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dziugas Telsiai

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
17 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
0 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

FA Siauliai

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)