Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA Telsiai Central Stadium

Dziugas Telsiai

1 - 0

Riteriai

Our Tip

Match Events

55'

Vinckus D.

Assist: Piliukaitis V.

61'

Sub

Zevzikovas D. In: Scotto I. E.

Out: Zevzikovas D.

72'

Sub

Bunchukov D. In: Romano G.

Out: Bunchukov D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Dziugas Telsiai and Riteriai finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dziugas Telsiai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Dziugas Telsiai

Draws

Riteriai

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dziugas Telsiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Dziugas Telsiai come out ahead of Riteriai on wins alone.
Win probability leans Dziugas Telsiai's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Dziugas Telsiai here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

Dziugas Telsiai Clean Sheet 68%

Riteriai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dziugas Telsiai	Riteriai
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	5
Draws	8	8
Losses	8	17
Goals Scored	2	0.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 TOPLYGA

Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Mar 11, 2026 TOPLYGA

Riteriai vs Dziugas Telsiai

Possession: 43% - 55% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Nov 2, 2025 TOPLYGA

Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Aug 22, 2025 TOPLYGA

Riteriai vs Dziugas Telsiai

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

0:2

Jun 25, 2025 TOPLYGA

Dziugas Telsiai vs Riteriai

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dziugas Telsiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinckus D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Riteriai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dziugas Telsiai 95 / 100

Riteriai 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dziugas Telsiai Riteriai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DZI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Riteriai registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Dziugas Telsiai's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Riteriai conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dziugas Telsiai VS Riteriai

2 Goals Scored 0.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 3.13

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	19	8	7	4	34:15	31
2	Banga	19	8	6	5	22:14	30
3	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
4	Dziugas Telsiai	19	8	6	5	28:22	30
5	Transinvest	19	8	5	6	28:25	29
6	Zalgiris	19	8	4	7	27:21	28
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	19	2	7	10	18:37	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0