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Asteras Kaisarianis vs Amarynthiakos Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Asteras Kaisarianis and Amarynthiakos finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asteras Kaisarianis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asteras Kaisarianis
15%
Draws
0%
Amarynthiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asteras Kaisarianis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asteras Kaisarianis come out ahead of Amarynthiakos on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Asteras Kaisarianis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Asteras Kaisarianis Clean Sheet 68%
Amarynthiakos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asteras Kaisarianis Amarynthiakos
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.39 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Asteras Kaisarianis vs Amarynthiakos
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Amarynthiakos vs Asteras Kaisarianis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asteras Kaisarianis 95 / 100
Amarynthiakos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asteras Kaisarianis Amarynthiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asteras Kaisarianis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarynthiakos has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Amarynthiakos lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Asteras Kaisarianis scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Asteras Kaisarianis VS Amarynthiakos
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asteras Kaisarianis

(Home)
27 Sept
Asteras Kaisarianis
2 : 3
Pannaxiakos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
Asteras Kaisarianis
05 Apr
Asteras Kaisarianis
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0
Asteras Kaisarianis
28 Mar
Asteras Kaisarianis
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 6

Amarynthiakos

(Away)
08 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Doxa Vyronas
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Amarynthiakos
0 : 2
Kentavros Vrilission
28 Mar
Nea Ionia
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Mar
Amarynthiakos
0 : 1
Aris Petroupolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 Asteras Kaisarianis 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)