Sport Picks

Stadium Background

E. Asteras vs AO Ilisiakos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 9
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

E. Asteras host AO Ilisiakos in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9. This one's hard to separate. E. Asteras have averaged 1.26 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against AO Ilisiakos's 1.5 scored and 1.21 conceded. Past meetings favor AO Ilisiakos slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.50, favoring AO Ilisiakos. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
E. Asteras
15%
Draws
64%
AO Ilisiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AO Ilisiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AO Ilisiakos lately — more wins on the board than E. Asteras.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on AO Ilisiakos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
E. Asteras Clean Sheet 16%
AO Ilisiakos Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E. Asteras AO Ilisiakos
Matches Played 35 42
Wins 13 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.26 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
E. Asteras vs AO Ilisiakos
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
AO Ilisiakos vs E. Asteras
1:0
Mar 15, 2009 Football League
E. Asteras vs AO Ilisiakos
1:1
Nov 8, 2008 Football League
AO Ilisiakos vs E. Asteras
1:0
May 28, 2008 Football League
E. Asteras vs AO Ilisiakos
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E. Asteras 19 / 100
AO Ilisiakos 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E. Asteras AO Ilisiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AO Ilisiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

E. Asteras scored in 63% of their last 35 games.

AO Ilisiakos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 42 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

E. Asteras went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

E. Asteras VS AO Ilisiakos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

E. Asteras

(Home)
04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0
E. Asteras
27 Sept
E. Asteras
2 : 3
Pannaxiakos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
E. Asteras
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0
E. Asteras
Page 1 of 7

AO Ilisiakos

(Away)
04 Oct
AO Ilisiakos
2 : 0
Saronikos Anavyssou
27 Sept
Kyanos Astir Varis
0 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
08 Apr
Atsalenios FC
1 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
05 Apr
AO Ilisiakos
0 : 1
Giouchtas
01 Apr
Aias
0 : 3
AO Ilisiakos
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AO Ilisiakos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Mykonos 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
3 Thyella Diastavroseos 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Saronikos Anavyssou 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
5 Pannaxiakos 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
6 Nea Ionia 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
7 Magoulas 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
8 Ilioupoli 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
9 Kyanos Astir Varis 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
10 E. Asteras 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
11 Acharnaikos 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (Losers stage)