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E. Asteras vs Apollon Kalythion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026
E. Asteras Logo

E. Asteras

3 - 3
FT
Apollon Kalythion Logo

Apollon Kalythion

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 game between E. Asteras and Apollon Kalythion finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
E. Asteras
20%
Draws
40%
Apollon Kalythion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Apollon Kalythion have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — E. Asteras are scoring more at 1.34.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on E. Asteras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
E. Asteras Clean Sheet 20%
Apollon Kalythion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric E. Asteras Apollon Kalythion
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Apollon Kalythion vs E. Asteras
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
E. Asteras vs Apollon Kalythion
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

E. Asteras 67 / 100
Apollon Kalythion 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
E. Asteras Apollon Kalythion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick E. Asteras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

E. Asteras's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Apollon Kalythion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Away concern: Apollon Kalythion has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

E. Asteras VS Apollon Kalythion
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

E. Asteras

(Home)
04 Oct
Magoulas
1 : 0
E. Asteras
27 Sept
E. Asteras
2 : 3
Pannaxiakos
08 Apr
Afantou
1 : 1
E. Asteras
05 Apr
E. Asteras
4 : 1
Diagoras FC
02 Apr
AO Karystou
1 : 0
E. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

Apollon Kalythion

(Away)
04 Oct
Doxa Vyronas
1 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
08 Apr
Nea Ionia
4 : 2
Apollon Kalythion
05 Apr
Apollon Kalythion
1 : 0
Amarynthiakos
01 Apr
Doxa Vyronas
0 : 0
Apollon Kalythion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aris Petroupolis 22 15 6 1 36:11 51
2 Nea Artaki 22 13 8 1 26:8 47
3 Diagoras FC 22 9 8 5 28:15 35
4 AO Karystou 22 9 8 5 22:12 35
5 Afantou 22 9 5 8 25:24 32
6 E. Asteras 22 9 5 8 32:26 32
7 Nea Ionia 22 9 4 9 23:23 31
8 Doxa Vyronas 22 8 7 7 32:21 31
9 Apollon Kalythion 22 9 4 9 32:31 31
10 Kentavros Vrilission 22 8 3 11 27:30 27
11 Amarynthiakos 22 4 2 16 20:36 14
12 Rodos 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 2025/2026 (Losers stage)