Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Bengal vs Jamshedpur

India India

ISL Salt Lake Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Bengal play Jamshedpur in the ISL. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Bengal averaged 2.18 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Jamshedpur averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. In past meetings, East Bengal won 2, Jamshedpur won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for East Bengal and 1.06 for Jamshedpur. This points to a East Bengal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
East Bengal
15%
Draws
39%
Jamshedpur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • East Bengal picked up more points recently compared to Jamshedpur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 22%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Jamshedpur
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 20 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.18 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Jamshedpur
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 ISL
East Bengal vs Jamshedpur
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs East Bengal
2:0
Feb 22, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs East Bengal
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Super Cup
East Bengal vs Jamshedpur
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalrindika E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Eze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tachikawa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 46 / 100
Jamshedpur 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Jamshedpur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: East Bengal or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Bengal attacking → ← attacking Jamshedpur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Bengal scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Jamshedpur let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Jamshedpur lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 57
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323