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East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters

India India

ISL Salt Lake Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Dohling A.
10' Event
Ezzejjari Y.
(Penalty)
53'
Sub
Crespo S. In: Chakrabarti S.
Out: Crespo S.

AI Match Summary

The ISL game between East Bengal and Kerala Blasters finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
East Bengal
40%
Draws
29%
Kerala Blasters
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and East Bengal come out ahead of Kerala Blasters on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular ISL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
Kerala Blasters Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal Kerala Blasters
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 ISL
East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super Cup
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:0
Jan 24, 2025 ISL
East Bengal vs Kerala Blasters
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:1
Apr 3, 2024 ISL
Kerala Blasters vs East Bengal
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Kerala Blasters Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhammad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 32 / 100
Kerala Blasters 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal Kerala Blasters

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: East Bengal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

East Bengal scored in 79% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Kerala Blasters conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS Kerala Blasters
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323