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East Coast vs Birkenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2016
Sat, Jul 16, 2016
3 - 5
02:00 AM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Birkenhead advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
East Coast
15%
Draws
52%
Birkenhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birkenhead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • East Coast haven't matched Birkenhead's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans East Coast's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Birkenhead arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Birkenhead, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
East Coast Clean Sheet 10%
Birkenhead Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Coast Birkenhead
Matches Played 4 32
Wins 1 18
Draws 0 2
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2 2.31
Goals Conceded 2 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2016 Chatham Cup
East Coast vs Birkenhead
3:5
Jul 12, 2015 Chatham Cup
Birkenhead vs East Coast
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Coast 65 / 100
Birkenhead 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Coast Birkenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Coast Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Birkenhead conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Birkenhead registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

East Coast found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Birkenhead
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Coast

(Home)
05 Aug
Nelson Suburbs FC
1 : 0
East Coast
14 Jul
Central United
0 : 5
East Coast
16 Jul
East Coast
3 : 5
Birkenhead
12 Jul
Birkenhead
2 : 0
East Coast

Birkenhead

(Away)
27 Sept
Birkenhead
0 : 4
Cashmere Technical
07 Dec
Birkenhead
3 : 1
Western Springs
29 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2
2 : 3
Birkenhead
23 Nov
Birkenhead
1 : 4
Miramar
15 Nov
Auckland United
3 : 2
Birkenhead
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forrest Hill 3
Bay Olympic 0
East Coast 3
Birkenhead 5
Universities of Canterbury 0
Cashmere Technical 3
Wairarapa United 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Waitemata FC 1
Queenstown Rovers 0
Caversham 1
Te Atatu FC 1
Three Kings 2
Palmerston North Marist 2
North Wellington 3
Quarter-finals
Forrest Hill 0
Birkenhead 3
Cashmere Technical 2
Miramar 4
Waitakere City 3
Caversham 1
Three Kings 6
North Wellington 1
Semi-finals
Birkenhead 3
Miramar 1
Waitakere City 6
Three Kings 1
Final
Birkenhead 3
Waitakere City 2