Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Fife vs Morton

Scotland Scotland

League Cup MGM Timber Bayview Stadium
Tue, Jul 14, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Fife host Morton in the League Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: East Fife at 1 goals for, 1.38 against; Morton at 0.88 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor East Fife slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 13, 2024, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.13, favoring Morton. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
East Fife
30%
Draws
34%
Morton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: East Fife

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Morton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • East Fife are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
East Fife Clean Sheet 20%
Morton Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Morton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 6 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 League Cup
East Fife vs Morton
3:0
Apr 3, 2021 Scottish Cup
East Fife vs Morton
1:2
Jan 19, 2019 Scottish Cup
East Fife vs Morton
2:1
Aug 3, 2013 League Cup
East Fife vs Morton
2:6
Mar 27, 2004 League One
East Fife vs Morton
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 36 / 100
Morton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Morton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Morton has conceded goals in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: East Fife remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

East Fife scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Morton
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

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