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East Fife U19 vs Ayr U19

Scotland Scotland

Youth Division U19
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Fife U19 play Ayr U19 in the Youth Division U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, East Fife U19 averaged 1.62 goals scored and 3.42 conceded. Ayr U19 averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, East Fife U19 won 1, Ayr U19 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 8, 2013 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for East Fife U19 and 2.63 for Ayr U19. This points to a Ayr U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
East Fife U19
25%
Draws
48%
Ayr U19
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ayr U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • East Fife U19 picked up more points recently compared to Ayr U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
East Fife U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ayr U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife U19 Ayr U19
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.62 2.38
Goals Conceded 3.42 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 8, 2013 Youth Division U19
East Fife U19 vs Ayr U19
1:5
May 19, 2013 Youth Division U19
East Fife U19 vs Ayr U19
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife U19 26 / 100
Ayr U19 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife U19 Ayr U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ayr U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

East Fife U19 attacking → ← attacking Ayr U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife U19 scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Ayr U19 let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

East Fife U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Ayr U19 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 42
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25