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East Fife vs Alloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

East Fife host Alloa in the League One. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alloa have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while East Fife have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.25. Past meetings favor Alloa slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.44) point toward Alloa. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
East Fife
20%
Draws
40%
Alloa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • East Fife haven't matched Alloa's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
East Fife Clean Sheet 16%
Alloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Alloa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League One
Alloa vs East Fife
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Alloa vs East Fife
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Alloa
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Alloa vs East Fife
1:1
Aug 9, 2025 League One
East Fife vs Alloa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 31 / 100
Alloa 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Alloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alloa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Alloa has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Alloa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

Alloa

(Away)
03 Oct
Ross County
4 : 1
Alloa
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Alloa
4 : 1
Hibernian B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Alloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 8 7 1 0 26:5 22
2 Hamilton 8 7 1 0 18:2 22
3 East Kilbride 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
4 Montrose 9 5 0 4 13:14 15
5 Airdrieonians 9 3 3 3 7:11 12
6 Alloa 9 2 3 4 9:10 9
7 East Fife 9 1 5 3 7:10 8
8 Peterhead 9 2 1 6 7:16 7
9 Queen of the South 9 2 1 6 10:27 7
10 Cove Rangers 9 1 2 6 8:15 5
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)